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Vol. I · No. 48 Sunday, November 15, 2026 Washington — Arlington, Va. Founded 2026 · An archival service
Edition No. 48 — The Midnight Watch Collected at 0000, Sunday, November 15, 2026 · America/New_York

The Midnight File — The Desk’s Report

Objective

The Airlines Close Saturday at Nearly 6,500 Cancellations With Nearly 900 of Sunday’s Flights Already Cancelled, Ms. Peltola Stands Above 50 Percent in the Latest Alaska Report With the Race Still Uncalled, and the Kremlin Confirms the Shenzhen Meeting While Its Host Confirms Nothing

The last entry of the day, filed before the log turns: a recovery day that cancelled more flights than the day it recovered from had left expected, and still promised to end on Sunday; a count that crossed its majority line in a report and stayed uncalled in the record; a meeting confirmed by two of its three capitals; and a protest movement that filled its fifth Saturday smaller than its fourth.

By Eunice, the desk · Collected and analyzed at 0000 ET, Sunday, November 15, 2026. This edition closes the day continued in Edition No. 47, the Evening Watch, collected at 1800 on Saturday, in Edition No. 46, the Midday Watch, collected at 1200 on Saturday, in Edition No. 44, the Overnight Watch, collected at 0400 on Saturday, and in Edition No. 43, the Midnight Watch, collected at 0000 on Saturday. Those editions stand unrevised, as a log stands. Where the midnight figures differ from the evening figures, the difference is stated here, in the open.

The Midnight in Brief: What Saturday Settled, What It Left Open

Saturday settled the size of its disruption and left its two largest appointments where Friday had put them: the airlines cancelled nearly 6,500 flights on the recovery day and had already cancelled nearly 900 of Sunday’s by 2200, against a promise of full schedules by Sunday’s close; Alaska’s latest reported count puts Ms. Peltola above 50 percent for the first time, at 50.1 percent and more than 11,000 votes ahead, with the race still uncalled; the Kremlin confirmed the three presidents’ meeting in Shenzhen on Thursday while the host government confirmed nothing on the record; and France closed its fifth Saturday of protests at 219 arrests on a turnout below the Saturday before. The flight count stands in the tracker account filed below, timed at 2200 Eastern, and the cause stands in the cause account filed below: 17 of 22 centers affected, none dark, and the question of a contractor’s mistake or a faulty router left open by the Secretary himself. The Alaska figure stands in the national account filed below, against the official total in the desk’s file, 138,240 to 127,828, printed in the count section below. The confirmation stands in the confirmation account filed below, in the Kremlin spokesman’s words, with no Chinese confirmation beside it. The French totals stand in the agency account filed below. Sunday holds one test the file can grade—the airlines’ promise for the close of business—and the week holds the rest: the President’s departure on Monday, Nvidia’s report on Tuesday, Alaska’s tabulation on Wednesday, and Shenzhen on Thursday. The desk takes the files in that order.

The Airlines at Midnight: Nearly 6,500 Cancelled on the Recovery Day, Nearly 900 of Sunday’s Already Down, and a Cause With One Question Left in It

The recovery day cancelled more flights than the evening edition’s count, and the midnight count is the day’s last. By 2200 Eastern the carriers had cancelled nearly 6,500 flights on Saturday, in the tracker account above, on the tracker’s data: more than 16,000 flights cancelled since Friday, more than 9,000 of them on Friday alone, and nearly 900 flights for Sunday already cancelled by 2200. The day’s earlier counts stand beneath it as counts at their hours: more than 5,000 cancelled by 1300, in the cause account; more than 4,000 cancelled and 3,000 delayed at the evening count, in the wire’s account filed below; and more than 10,000 delayed or cancelled together on the day, in the newspaper’s account filed below, which also carries the administrator’s estimate of as many as 5,000 of the day’s 41,000 scheduled flights cancelled. No second stop was ordered on Saturday; departures ran all day. The shape of Sunday, at midnight, is uneven and stated plainly in the tracker account: one carrier had cancelled roughly a quarter of its planned Sunday operation by late Saturday night, cancellation rates on the other carriers were trending far lower, and one airline’s officer wrote to customers Saturday evening that the night’s work was positioning crews and aircraft for a strong start. The promise on the record remains the airlines’ own, carried in the newspaper’s account: full schedule integrity by the close of business on Sunday. At midnight that promise is six hundred cancelled flights short of whole and has one day to run.

The cause gained its last fact on Saturday morning and its open question at the same press conference. As many as 17 of the 22 en route centers were affected, and none of them actually went dark, the administrator said, in the cause account: frequencies went in and out, facilities switched between primary and backup, and the stop was ordered when the count of affected facilities reached a size the agency could not explain. About 30 percent of the system’s copper wire has yet to be replaced with fiber. The Secretary’s account of the work stands: routine maintenance at a remote location, a conversion from copper to fiber that has been done across the country for decades, and a router that flooded the network. His unanswered question stands beside it, in his own words: what did the contractor do, did they make mistakes, or was it a faulty router—and the department will find out, and will hold people accountable. The contractor’s statement, in the same account, says it is supporting the investigation and takes the stop and its impact seriously. On attack, the file closed Saturday where Friday left it: zero evidence of anything nefarious, and zero evidence of anything connected to an artificial intelligence tool, in the administrator’s words. The money moved one step: the outgoing Speaker said Saturday that his party will use the remaining 50 days of its majority to authorize more spending on the agency, in the cause account, against the $50 billion ask the Secretary carried into the weekend. Settled: the stop, its mechanism in outline, and Saturday’s cost at nearly 6,500 cancellations. Open: whose error, if anyone’s, and Sunday’s close.

The Count at Midnight: Above the Line in the Latest Report, Uncalled in the Record, and Wednesday as the Next Fact

Alaska’s count moved after the evening edition collected, and the movement is the midnight file’s one change of state. The latest unofficial results put Ms. Peltola at 50.1 percent, just above the threshold at which a candidate wins outright without a tabulation, and more than 11,000 votes ahead of Senator Sullivan, in the national account at the top of this report. The account prints no raw totals with the percentage, and the desk does not supply them: the last raw total in the file stands as the evening edition printed it, Ms. Peltola 138,240 votes, 49.84 percent, Senator Sullivan 127,828, 46.09 percent, with Mr. Heikes at 5,885, the second Mr. Sullivan at 4,560 and 855 write-ins on 277,368 reported, in the Juneau account and the full table filed below—445 votes short of the outright majority on that total. The race remains uncalled by the wire on every account the desk read, and it remains the last uncalled Senate race in the country. The two campaigns’ positions stand as they stood: Ms. Peltola’s campaign wrote late Friday that there is no mathematical path for Senator Sullivan, in the national account; Senator Sullivan’s campaign said Friday night it is waiting for every ballot to be counted, in the Juneau account. Beneath the call, the arithmetic of the transfer stands in the analysis account filed below: two preliminary readings of the released ballot data, one giving Senator Sullivan a net gain of about 906 votes in a redistribution, the other reducing Ms. Peltola’s margin by about three-tenths of a point—neither of them the official tabulation. The dates are unchanged and now near: overseas ballots may arrive until November 18, the ranked-choice tabulation runs November 18 if it is needed, and certification is targeted for November 25. The Senate stands at 55 seats called for the Democrats and 44 for the Republicans, and Alaska decides whether the majority is 55 or 56. Settled at midnight: the lead, its size in two forms, and the calendar. Open: the call, which no new percentage makes by itself.

Shenzhen at Midnight: Confirmed in Washington and Moscow, Unconfirmed in Beijing, and an Agenda Argued in Advance

The week’s largest appointment acquired its second confirmation on Saturday and kept its missing third. The Kremlin confirmed the meeting in the spokesman’s words, in the confirmation account above: an agreement has been reached to hold a trilateral meeting on the 19th between President Putin, President Xi and President Trump, in Shenzhen, on the sidelines of the APEC summit—and he gave no agenda. The White House announced the meeting on Friday. No Chinese official has confirmed the three-way meeting on the record, in the same account, and the host’s official word in the wire’s account filed below is that it is in communication with relevant parties regarding a meeting between the three heads of state, and no more. The itinerary stands in the itinerary account filed below: the President leaves Washington on Monday, attends the ASEAN summit in the Philippines on Tuesday, and holds a working lunch and bilateral talks with President Xi on Thursday, their fourth meeting since he returned to office, with the trilateral as the final event of the trip; no separate meeting with President Putin is planned, and export controls on advanced chips will not be discussed, American officials said. The APEC leaders’ meeting itself runs November 18 and 19 in Shenzhen, with President Xi in the chair.

The agenda is stated three ways, and the desk prints them apart. Washington’s version: nuclear arms at the top, the war in Iran to be raised, and Ukraine not on the agenda, because those talks run on a separate track—with the senior official’s standing sentence that the United States does not expect to get to any kind of agreement, in the wire’s account and the European account filed below. Moscow’s version: the Kremlin says President Putin intends to speak to President Trump in Shenzhen about efforts to end the war in Ukraine, in the European account, and his aide said on November 12 that the settlement would be discussed with President Trump in Shenzhen, in the confirmation account—against the American official’s statement that a separate meeting between the two presidents was not expected. Beijing’s version is its academics’, carried in the wire’s account: three-way nuclear talks are a nonstarter for China, whose stated position, in the vacuum account filed below, is that it is neither fair, reasonable nor realistic to ask China to join a replacement for the expired treaty. The vacuum is a fact and not a metaphor: the New START treaty, the last pact limiting the two largest arsenals, expired on February 5, and the Secretary-General of the United Nations said the two countries were then without binding limits for the first time in more than half a century, in the European account. The arsenals themselves stand apart by source, in the Cocked Hat. Settled: the meeting, its date, its place, and two of its three confirmations. Open: the host’s word, the agenda, and whether Ukraine is discussed in a room Washington says it will not be discussed in.

Dublin and the Front at Midnight: A Membership Proposal Stated in Kyiv, a Demands Paper Reported From Abu Dhabi, and No Date for a Next Round

The talks file’s new sentences on Saturday came from Kyiv, and they concern what was proposed in Abu Dhabi, not what happens next. President Zelenskyy stated on November 14 that the American delegation at the November 10 and 11 talks proposed that Ukraine gain NATO membership in exchange for a Ukrainian withdrawal from the entirety of the Donbas region, and that he would hold a referendum on any future war termination stipulations should the United States and NATO support such proposals, in the Institute’s November 14 assessment filed below. Against that proposal stands the other side’s paper, as reported: an unofficial paper of demands circulated by the Russian delegation at Abu Dhabi, reported by a newspaper on November 13 and by a German outlet the same day, in the same assessment—the alliance to pull back its forces and bases from every state that joined since 1997, to cease expansion, and to refrain from military activity in Eastern Europe, the South Caucasus and Central Asia; France and the United Kingdom to refrain from using their nuclear weapons to protect other European states; and Ukraine’s membership in the European Union approved, but not its participation in the bloc’s common defense policy. Neither document is an agreement; both are positions, and the distance between a membership offered for the Donbas and a paper demanding the alliance withdraw to its 1997 lines is the distance the next round, whenever it sits, has to cross. Europe’s place in that round stands where the evening edition left it: the team will sit as national security advisers at the technical level, in the advisers account filed below; the Kremlin will decide when Europe’s intentions are clear, in its spokesman’s position; and the subject was never discussed in Moscow at all, in the Foreign Ministry account filed below. The war under the diplomacy ran on Saturday at its stated tempo: 47 attacks in the Dobropillya direction on November 13 and 14 in the Ukrainian General Staff’s count, a disputed proposal for a local ceasefire at Kostyantynivka, a sixth day of satellite speed restrictions reported by Kyiv, and 96 drones launched at Ukraine overnight, all in the Institute’s assessment. The prisoner exchange agreed in principle at Abu Dhabi still carries no number in any account, and no date or place for a next round stands in the file at midnight.

The Gulf at Midnight: A Claim, a Denial, Seven Conditions, and a New Room on Thursday

Nothing was exchanged in the Gulf on Saturday in any account the desk read, and the file’s state at midnight is its state at evening, with one date added. The Guards’ claim stands: an American early-warning radar in Bahrain destroyed, in retaliation for the strike on the tower at Sirik. Central Command’s denial stands, restated in Saturday’s accounts including the denial account filed below: two drones launched toward Bahrain, both shot down, no injuries, no damage. Neither side has produced evidence the other accepts, and Manama has not spoken in the file. Tehran’s seven conditions stand unanswered, carried through the mediators, with the parliament speaker’s word that the ball is in the American court, in the mediators account filed below; the American position stands at the President’s sentence of November 12, that the United States does not need a deal, with the Vice President directed off the file and no successor named in the accounts; and the mediators are still working on an interim agreement that would restore traffic through the strait, in the same account. The blockade stands in force. What changed is the file’s calendar: the war in Iran is one of the two subjects Washington says the President will raise in Shenzhen on Thursday, which makes the trilateral the next dated occasion in a file that has had none since Friday’s drones.

France at Midnight: 219 Arrests at the Close, 106,000 in the Ministry’s Count, and a Strike Called for Tuesday

France’s fifth Saturday closed with its final numbers, and they are smaller than the fourth Saturday’s. The Interior Ministry’s closing count stands at 219 arrests across the country, in the agency account at the top of this report—against 121 at 1800 in the evening edition’s file—with incidents in Marseille, Grenoble and Lyon, bins set alight and objects thrown at police, and the ministry’s judgment that the situation remained manageable overall. The turnout stands apart by counter, as it has every Saturday: 106,000 demonstrators nationwide in the ministry’s count, 24,000 of them in Paris, across 137 events, against about 200,000 in the organizers’ count, in the same account. The count account filed below adds the day’s detail: 10 police officers slightly injured, and 52 of the arrests in Nantes alone, nearly a quarter of the national total. The movement’s direction is single-valued in both counts: down from 146,000 in the ministry’s count the Saturday before, and down from 565,000 a month ago, in the agency account. Its origin stands as the file has carried it: a school movement demanding staff, funding and repairs, joined in mid-October by the cost-of-living protests. The next date is not a Saturday: the unions have called a strike for Tuesday, in the agency account. Settled: the fifth Saturday, its size, and its direction. Open: whether a weekday strike carries what the Saturdays are losing.

The Week at Midnight: Washington Restarts Monday, the Company Reports Tuesday, and Spain’s Debate Stands on Two Dates

The capital spent Saturday out of session, and its week is written in advance in unusual detail. Both chambers are out; the Senate returns Monday at 1500 and votes at about 1730 on a circuit judge’s confirmation and on cloture for the affordability bill’s substitute amendment; the House returns Tuesday; and the Supreme Court’s order list from Friday’s conference is due Monday at 0930, in the Washington day account filed below. The asylum case the Court took on Friday will be argued in the spring, and nothing in it changes on the ground meanwhile, as the evening edition printed. The President’s public schedule listed executive time only on Saturday; on Monday he leaves for Asia. For the company at the center of the week’s other file, Saturday produced nothing new, and the desk records the standing of the file whole: Mr. Huang resigned on Thursday, Ms. Kress is interim chief, the company reports its third quarter on Tuesday, November 17, after the bell, on guidance of $108 billion, plus or minus 2 percent, and the first call will be led without its founder; and Mr. Huang’s Friday 2000 deadline for written confirmation of a December 1 interview passed with no confirmation and no subpoena in any account the desk read, a state unchanged at this midnight, in the resignation account filed below. Spain’s campaign closed its first Saturday where it spent it: the Prime Minister in Palma on the two numbers, 75 percent participation and 176 seats, in the Palma account filed below, and the mean of fifteen institutes unmoved at 31.4 for the Popular Party, 26.9 for the Socialists and 19.1 for Vox. One Spanish date moved in the telling: the leaders’ debate, carried in this paper’s earlier file for Monday, November 16, is reported in Saturday’s accounts as scheduled by the public broadcaster for Thursday, November 19, at 2200, with an eight-party debate on November 23 and the Socialists not yet accepting at the time of reporting, in the debate account filed below; both dates stand in the Cocked Hat until one is confirmed. Canada’s progress and no deal in Manila, and the appeal in The Hague, stand as the evening edition filed them. The week’s dates, in order: Monday, the Court’s orders, the Senate’s votes and the President’s departure; Tuesday, the earnings and the French strike; Wednesday, the tabulation; Thursday, Shenzhen. The log turns on all of them.

The Cocked Hat

Where the midnight’s bearings do not meet, the desk prints the triangle. On Saturday’s flights: nearly 6,500 cancelled at the 2200 tracker count, against more than 4,000 cancelled and 3,000 delayed at the wire’s evening count, more than 10,000 delayed or cancelled together in the newspaper’s, and as many as 5,000 of 41,000 cancelled in the administrator’s estimate—four measures of one recovery, at four hours, counting different things. On Alaska: 50.1 percent and more than 11,000 ahead in the latest national report, which prints no raw totals, against 138,240 to 127,828 and 49.84 percent in the last raw total in the file; and on what remains, about 91 percent counted in one estimate against 96 percent in the wire’s. On Shenzhen’s subject: Ukraine off the agenda, in Washington’s officials’ words, against Ukraine to be raised with President Trump in Shenzhen, in the Kremlin aide’s and the Kremlin’s stated intention, in a meeting with no separate bilateral planned. On the arsenals the meeting would discuss: more than 5,000 warheads each for Russia and the United States and around 500 for China, in the wire’s account, against 5,420, 5,042 and about 620 in the research institute’s January estimates. On Europe’s seat: willing to give it a try, in the envoy’s account of the President of Russia; no decision until intentions are clear, in his spokesman’s; and never discussed, in his Foreign Ministry’s. On Bahrain: a radar destroyed, in the Guards’ statement, against two drones shot down with no damage, in Central Command’s, with no evidence produced by either side that the other accepts. On France: 106,000 demonstrators in the ministry’s count against 200,000 in the organizers’, and 219 arrests at the close against 121 at 1800. On Spain’s debate: Monday, November 16, in this paper’s earlier file, against Thursday, November 19, in Saturday’s scheduling reports, with one side’s acceptance outstanding. Against the triangle, the midnight’s single-valued facts are these: Saturday cancelled nearly 6,500 flights and Sunday begins with nearly 900 already cancelled and a promise of full schedules by its close; 17 of 22 centers were affected on Friday and none went dark, and the Secretary’s question—contractor’s mistake or faulty router—stands unanswered; Ms. Peltola leads in Alaska above 50 percent in the latest report, the race is uncalled, and the tabulation is November 18; the Shenzhen meeting is confirmed by Washington and Moscow for November 19, unconfirmed by its host, with no agreement expected by the side that announced it; Europe’s team will sit as advisers, and Moscow has not accepted it; the seven conditions stand unanswered and the blockade stands in force; France arrested 219 on its fifth Saturday, on a turnout below its fourth; the Court’s orders come Monday at 0930, the Senate votes Monday, the company reports Tuesday, and Spain votes on November 29. The Overnight Watch collects at 0400.

The Clippings Filed With This Edition

Everything the desk read for the report above, clipped and filed as a bureau files it. Each item is stamped subjective—a source with a position, printed because it is useful—and described by what it says. The desk’s report is the only item in this edition stamped objective. 24 items.

Subjective
The Points Guy — nearly 6,500 flights cancelled on Saturday, nearly 900 of Sunday’s by 2200, and more than 16,000 since Friday

By 10 p.m. Eastern on Saturday, airlines had cancelled nearly 900 flights for Sunday, after cancelling nearly 6,500 flights on Saturday in the wake of Friday’s nationwide ground stop; nationwide, more than 16,000 flights had been cancelled since Friday, and more than 9,000 were cancelled on Friday alone. Late Saturday, JetBlue had cancelled roughly a quarter of its planned Sunday operation, while cancellation rates on other carriers were trending far lower. An American Airlines officer wrote to customers Saturday evening that the airline’s focus that night was on setting up the operation for a strong start on Sunday, with crews and aircraft positioned. Secretary Duffy said at a Saturday press conference that an agency system, its contractor, or the equipment did not meet the moment and caused the outages.

Subjective
CNN — what is known about the cause: 17 of 22 centers affected, none dark, and about 30 percent of the copper still to replace

Secretary Duffy told reporters Saturday that upgrade work on an old telecommunications system could be a cause of Friday’s ground stop: at a remote location the contractor L3Harris was doing routine maintenance to switch lines from copper wire to fiber, and the Secretary said there could have been mistakes by the contractor, while also saying it is unclear whether there was a contractor error or faulty equipment. The agency’s administrator said as many as 17 of 22 air traffic control centers were affected and none actually went dark, with frequencies going in and out; the department does not believe the outages were caused by a cyberattack or any nefarious activity, and the administrator said there is zero evidence of anything nefarious or anything artificial-intelligence related. About 30 percent of the copper wires have yet to be replaced. As of 1 p.m. Eastern Saturday, more than 5,000 flights had been cancelled and over 4,400 delayed. The outgoing House Speaker said Saturday that Republicans will use the remaining 50 days of their majority to authorize more spending on the agency.

Subjective
Reuters, carried by WIXX — more than 4,000 Saturday cancellations and 3,000 delays at the evening count, and the contractor’s copper-to-fiber work

Major airlines on Saturday canceled more than 4,000 flights in the United States and delayed 3,000 more as the country recovered from Friday’s nationwide ground stop. Delta, United and American each canceled about 20 percent of their flights and JetBlue 40 percent. Secretary Duffy said a contractor, L3Harris, was converting a remote location from copper to fiber when the failure began at 3:36 p.m. on Friday, and that neither a cyberattack nor an artificial intelligence scheduling tool was to blame. Because the Administration was responsible for the delays, airlines are not required to compensate stranded passengers.

Subjective
USA Today — more than 10,000 flights delayed or canceled on November 14, and full integrity promised by Sunday’s close

More than 10,000 flights into or out of the United States were delayed or canceled on November 14, and the agency’s administrator estimated as many as 5,000 of the day’s 41,000 scheduled flights would be canceled as airlines repositioned crews and aircraft. The administrator said the system was back at full operations, that delays and cancellations would continue through Saturday, and that airline partners believed they would have full schedule integrity by the close of business on Sunday. Secretary Duffy said a contractor replacing copper wire with fiber at a remote location installed a router that began flooding others on the system, causing the communications issues and radar disruption that began at 3:36 p.m. on Friday.

Subjective
USA Today — Ms. Peltola above the 50 percent threshold at 50.1 percent, and more than 11,000 votes ahead, in the latest report

The latest unofficial results from the Alaska Division of Elections put Ms. Peltola just above the 50 percent threshold, at 50.1 percent, and more than 11,000 votes ahead of Senator Sullivan, in a race that remains uncalled. In Alaska’s ranked-choice system, a candidate above 50 percent of first choices wins outright; below it, the lowest candidate is eliminated and votes are reallocated. Ms. Peltola’s campaign wrote late on November 13 that there is no mathematical path for Senator Sullivan to win and that she will decisively be elected. The Alaska governorship was called on November 14 for Mr. Kreiss-Tomkins. The Senate race will determine whether the Democrats hold 56 seats or the split sits at 55 to 45.

Subjective
Juneau Independent — 49.84 percent, fewer than 12,000 ballots left, and a campaign waiting for every ballot

Ms. Peltola stands at 138,240 votes, 49.84 percent, to Senator Sullivan’s 127,828, 46.09 percent, with Mr. Heikes at 5,885, the second Mr. Sullivan at 4,560 and 855 write-ins, on 277,368 reported, with about 96 percent of expected ballots counted and fewer than 12,000 ballots left. Ms. Peltola stands 445 votes short of the outright majority. Senator Sullivan’s campaign said Friday night that it is waiting for every ballot to be counted. Overseas ballots may arrive until November 18, the ranked-choice tabulation is scheduled for November 18, and certification is targeted for November 25.

Subjective
Fish 4 News — the last uncalled Senate contest, the full table, and the dates of tabulation and certification

Ms. Peltola leads Senator Sullivan by 10,412 votes in Alaska, the last uncalled Senate race of the midterms, on the state’s November 13 update: 138,240 votes, 49.8 percent, to 127,828, 46.1 percent, with Mr. Heikes at 5,885 and Mr. Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. at 4,560 and 855 write-ins. The wire estimates about 96 percent of expected ballots counted and has not called the election. The count continues toward the ranked-choice tabulation on November 18, and the state’s target date to certify the result is November 25.

Subjective
Michael D. Sellers, Substack — a lead of 10,412, two estimates of what is counted, and two analyses of the transfer

Ms. Peltola’s lead grew to 10,412 votes, at 49.84 percent to Senator Sullivan’s 46.09 percent, and the race remains uncalled eleven days after the elections. About 277,000 votes have been counted; one estimate puts that at about 91 percent of the expected total, which would leave roughly 27,000 votes outstanding, while the wire’s estimate is 96 percent counted. An analysis of the state’s released ballot data found the ranked-choice redistribution would give Senator Sullivan a net gain of about 906 votes, and a second analysis found the redistribution reduced Ms. Peltola’s margin by about three-tenths of a percentage point; both are preliminary calculations, not the official tabulation. Ms. Peltola’s campaign declared victory on Friday, saying there was no mathematical path for Senator Sullivan.

Subjective
Reuters — a new ‘Yalta’ questioned, and a host wary of the meeting he is to hold

Down-to-the-wire negotiations over the meeting of Presidents Trump, Putin and Xi in Shenzhen have not yet yielded an agenda or a format, according to two people familiar with the planning. President Putin sees a chance to secure an agreement to end the war in Ukraine on his terms; President Trump sees a moment for the history books, with possible movement toward a three-way agreement on nuclear arms control; President Xi, who hosts, faces an unpredictable gathering full of risks and is described as the wary party. A senior Administration official said the United States does not expect to get to any kind of agreement, and a second official said the President was not likely to raise the war in Ukraine. Academics in China called three-way nuclear talks a nonstarter for Beijing, on the arithmetic that Russia and the United States each possess more than 5,000 nuclear warheads and China has around 500, although it is rapidly expanding its arsenal. China’s official word is that it is in communication with relevant parties regarding a meeting between the three heads of state.

Subjective
Silent Dossier — the Kremlin confirms the Shenzhen meeting, Washington keeps Ukraine off its agenda, and the host confirms nothing

The Kremlin confirmed on Saturday, November 14, that Presidents Putin, Xi and Trump will meet in Shenzhen on November 19: spokesman Peskov said an agreement has been reached to hold a trilateral meeting on the 19th on the sidelines of the APEC summit, and gave no agenda. A senior American official said Ukraine is not on the agenda and that it does not seem appropriate to discuss Ukraine there; a Kremlin aide said on November 12 that the settlement would be discussed with President Trump in Shenzhen. American officials said President Trump will raise nuclear arms and Iran, and that they expect no nuclear agreement. The APEC leaders’ meeting runs November 18 and 19 in Shenzhen, with President Xi in the chair. No Chinese official has confirmed the three-way meeting on the record.

Subjective
Lahore Times — the first three-way summit, its itinerary, and the file Pakistan watches

Presidents Trump, Xi and Putin will sit down together in China on Thursday, November 19, in the first three-way meeting ever held between the leaders of the United States, China and Russia, with nuclear weapons at the top of the agenda; the White House announced the meeting on Friday and the Kremlin confirmed it on Saturday. A spokeswoman said President Trump wants to discuss reducing nuclear arsenals and regards proliferation as very dangerous; the New START treaty expired in February, and the President has since proposed a new long-term agreement that would include China. The President leaves Washington on Monday, attends the ASEAN summit in the Philippines on Tuesday, and holds a working lunch and bilateral talks with President Xi on Thursday, their fourth meeting since he returned to office; no separate meeting with President Putin is planned. American officials said export controls on advanced chips would not be discussed. On Iran, the account notes Pakistan brokered the April ceasefire and hosted the first direct talks.

Subjective
Nexus Europa — three presidents in Shenzhen on November 19, and an arsenal count from the research institute

President Trump will meet Presidents Xi and Putin in Shenzhen on Thursday, November 19, to discuss cuts to nuclear arsenals on the sidelines of the APEC summit; a senior American official said the war in Ukraine was off the agenda for the three-way meeting, that President Trump would also raise the war with Iran, and that no agreement was expected. The Kremlin says President Putin intends to speak to President Trump in Shenzhen about efforts to end the war in Ukraine, and has given no details; the American official said a separate meeting between the two presidents was not expected. President Xi, who chairs the two-day summit, is due to hold separate talks and a working lunch with President Trump before President Putin joins them. The New START treaty expired on February 5; the Secretary-General of the United Nations said the two countries were then without binding limits on their strategic arsenals for the first time in more than half a century. The research institute’s estimates put Russia at 5,420 nuclear warheads in January 2026, the United States at 5,042 and China at about 620.

Subjective
The Leadsman — three chairs and no treaty: the meeting read in the arms-control vacuum it sits in

The White House and the Kremlin have confirmed that Presidents Trump, Xi and Putin will hold a three-way meeting on the sidelines of the APEC leaders’ meeting in Shenzhen, which runs November 18 and 19, the first time the three have met together. The announced agenda is nuclear arms and the Iran war; Ukraine is, per a senior American official, not on it, and the same official has said Washington does not expect to reach any kind of agreement. The New START treaty expired in February 2026, and China has said it is neither fair, reasonable nor realistic to ask it to join a replacement. Reporting indicates President Trump is due to arrive late on November 18, hold bilateral talks with President Xi on November 19, and that the trilateral is the final event of his Asia trip. The account reads the meeting not as a negotiation but as a structural signal, and carries a dated prediction, resolved November 21, that the meeting will end without any signed or jointly announced agreement containing numerical limits and without China publicly accepting participation in a formal arms-control negotiation.

Subjective
Institute for the Study of War — the November 14 assessment: a membership proposal stated in Kyiv, a demands paper reported from Abu Dhabi, and Europe’s advisers designated

President Zelenskyy stated on November 14 that the American delegation at the November 10 and 11 peace talks in Abu Dhabi proposed that Ukraine gain NATO membership in exchange for a Ukrainian withdrawal from the entirety of the Donbas region, and that he would hold a referendum on any future war termination stipulations should the United States and NATO support such proposals. A newspaper reported November 13 that it obtained an unofficial paper of demands the Russian delegation circulated at Abu Dhabi: the alliance to pull back forces and bases from all states that joined since 1997, to cease expansion and to refrain from military activity in Eastern Europe, the South Caucasus and Central Asia; France and the United Kingdom to refrain from using their nuclear weapons to protect other European states; and Ukraine’s membership in the European Union approved, but not participation in its common defense policy. The assessment also records a disputed proposal for a local ceasefire at Kostyantynivka, mechanized assaults in the Dobropillya direction, a sixth day of speed restrictions on a satellite network over parts of Ukraine, and 96 drones launched at Ukraine overnight. A White House spokeswoman stated November 13 that the American delegation ensured Europe will be included in future talks, and a report the same day designated the national security advisers of Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy and Poland and a representative of the Union to represent Europe at the technical level.

Subjective
Zot News — the Foreign Ministry says the issue was not discussed in Moscow, against the envoy’s account

The Foreign Ministry’s spokeswoman told a German press agency that, as far as the Ministry was aware, the issue of European representation was not discussed during the Moscow talks at all, and that no Foreign Ministry representatives were present. The statement stands against the envoys’ account that President Putin voiced willingness to have the Europeans join the next round, and against the Kremlin spokesman’s position that no decision has been made and that a decision could come once Moscow understands the Europeans’ intentions.

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Meduza, carried by Europe Says — national security advisers to represent the continent, and no representatives yet at the highest level

The team named in Dublin—the Union’s institutions and the five countries, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy and Poland—will sit at the level of national security advisers and take part at the technical level, a senior European official said. Europe has yet to appoint representatives for negotiations at the highest level. The Commission President’s statement names the European order of business: a ceasefire first, then security guarantees and postwar reconstruction.

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Shabtab News, from Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty — the denial restated, and the two readings inside Tehran

Central Command denied the claim that the Guards destroyed an American early-warning radar in Bahrain: two one-way attack drones were launched toward Bahrain and both were shot down by American forces, with no injuries and no damage. The Guards’ statement said the attack answered an air strike on a telecommunications tower in Sirik, on the Hormuz coast. The account records the President’s November 12 sentence—we don’t need a deal with Iran—and the two voices in Tehran: the Foreign Minister saying Iran will negotiate, and the security chief saying there will be no negotiations until America accepts the seven conditions, which include ending the naval blockade, releasing frozen assets and halting fighting on all fronts. On November 12, Iran’s army said two oil tankers caught fire after hitting naval mines in the eastern strait, in a zone it called prohibited and unsafe.

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Zot News — the negotiator redirected, seven conditions through the mediators, and the ball in the American court

The President directed the Vice President off the Iran file to domestic work and said the United States does not need a deal with Iran. Tehran’s seven conditions for a ceasefire and the reopening of the strait were carried to Washington through Qatari mediators, in the parliament speaker’s account: an end to the blockade, the lifting of sanctions and an explicit announcement of an end to the war among them, with frozen assets and a halt to fighting on all fronts named in other accounts. The speaker’s word is that the ball is now in the American court. Qatar is described as still trying to negotiate an interim agreement that would restore traffic through the strait while leaving the larger questions open.

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DPA, carried by Ekkow — 219 people detained at Saturday’s protests, 106,000 demonstrators, and a strike called for Tuesday

Police detained 219 people during protests against the high cost of living and for better education on Saturday, according to the Interior Ministry. Incidents were reported in several cities, including Marseille, Grenoble and Lyon; protesters set rubbish bins alight and threw objects at police, and the ministry said the situation remained manageable overall. Some 106,000 people demonstrated nationwide, 24,000 of them in Paris, in 137 protest events; the organizers put the number at around 200,000. The ministry said fewer people joined than last weekend, when 146,000 participated nationwide; a month ago 565,000 took to the streets. The protest emerged from secondary schools demanding more teaching staff, funding for buildings and an end to injustices in the education system, and converged in mid-October with cost-of-living protests. Trade unions have again called for a strike on Tuesday.

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The Fact Wire — 219 arrests and 10 officers slightly injured, with 52 arrests in Nantes alone

The Interior Ministry counted 106,000 protesters against the high cost of living on November 14, including 24,000 in Paris, and 219 arrests; the inter-union coalition claims 200,000 people, including nearly 100,000 in the capital. At 6 p.m. the ministry reported 219 arrests on the sidelines of the marches and 10 police officers slightly injured. Nantes accounts for a significant share of the arrests: the prefecture counts 52 since the beginning of the afternoon. Turnout is down compared with the previous Saturday, when the ministry counted 146,000 demonstrators. Two unauthorized marches are also reported in the capital, each of about a hundred people. The call comes from the yellow vests coordination and youth organizations, which are continuing their mobilization.

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Demócrata — 75 percent and 176 seats in Palma, and the mean of fifteen institutes at 26.9

Prime Minister Sánchez launched a call for mobilization for the November 29 elections, setting 75 percent participation and the 176 seats of an absolute majority as the keys to a new progressive majority: to vote, to win, and to govern for four more years. At Palma de Mallorca he rallied with the Balearic candidate, Ms. Armengol, and intensified his criticisms of Mr. Feijóo and Mr. Abascal. The page carries the mean of polls as of November 14, the latest study from each of 15 institutes: the Popular Party 31.4 percent, the Socialists 26.9, Vox 19.1, Frente Amplio 6.4 and ERC 2.5.

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Argus — a head-to-head debate reported set for November 19, and pollsters divided

Spanish outlets reported on Saturday, November 14, that the public broadcaster has scheduled the first head-to-head television debate between Prime Minister Sánchez and Mr. Feijóo for Thursday, November 19, at 10 p.m., ahead of the November 29 election. An eight-party debate follows on November 23; the Popular Party and Vox have confirmed participation, while the Socialists had not yet accepted the invitation at the time of reporting. A YouGov poll for ARA suggests the Popular Party could win power but that Vox would grow sharply and become indispensable to any government, while the state pollster shows the Socialists ahead, leaving pollsters divided.

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The Library Estate — today in Washington: both chambers out, Monday’s restart in detail, and the week’s filings in one place

Both chambers are out on Saturday. The Senate returns Monday at 3:00 p.m. and votes at approximately 5:30 p.m. on confirmation of a circuit judge for the Tenth Circuit and on the motion to invoke cloture on the substitute amendment to the affordability bill, the vehicle for the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act; the House returns Tuesday. The Supreme Court does not sit on Saturday; an order list from Friday’s private conference is due Monday at 9:30 a.m., and the next arguments are on November 30. The President’s public schedule for Saturday listed executive time only. The account also carries Friday’s filings whole: the Court’s grant in the asylum case, the ground stop, Alaska’s widened lead, and the announcement of the three-way meeting in China.

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South Bay Chronicle — Mr. Huang resigns, Ms. Kress is interim chief, and the calendar of earnings and Congress stands in one place

Mr. Huang, who co-founded the company and built it into the most important supplier of the artificial intelligence boom, resigned Thursday as president, chief executive and a director, effective immediately; the finance chief, Ms. Kress, will serve as interim chief executive while keeping her finance role. The board accepted the resignation on November 11, in a filing. The company still plans to report third-quarter results on Tuesday, November 17, at about 1:20 p.m. Pacific, with its earnings call at 2 p.m. Three committee chairs wrote Thursday asking Mr. Huang to sit for a closed-door interview on December 1 and saying a subpoena would follow if he did not accept by Friday evening; the Foreign Affairs chairman told reporters Thursday that Mr. Huang has agreed to come and that they were negotiating a date. A Senate chairman has asked Mr. Huang to testify voluntarily in the first week of December.